Compendium › Reversion › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.91%
Last Month Return
$10,276.97
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,694.84
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:31:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
4.8/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 21.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 16.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,694.84
Current Value
$10,276.97
Period P&L
$-417.87
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.42%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-1.84%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$63,142.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-417.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-417.87
Gross Return
-3.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,694.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.10 180 $10,818.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 180 $10,473.30 $10,524.74 $-344.70
(-3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 181 $10,501.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 181 $10,545.96 $10,569.08 +$44.34
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.96 182 $10,547.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.35 182 $10,255.70 $10,276.97 $-292.11
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,276.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$276.97
Total Return: +2.77%
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