Compendium › Reversion › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-555.86%
Last Month Return
$12,419.29
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$128.98
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 48.2/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$128.98
Current Value
$12,419.29
Period P&L
$-716.92
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+1.11%
Worst Trade
-3.69%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
11.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,845.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-716.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-716.92
Gross Return
-555.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-555.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $128.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.96 193 $12,730.28 $12,752.14 $-169.84
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $67.58 193 $13,042.94 $12,894.96 +$142.82
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $66.70 193 $12,873.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $64.24 193 $12,398.32 $12,419.29 $-475.67
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,419.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,419.29
Total Return: +24.19%
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