Compendium › Reversion › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-13.80%
Last Month Return
$10,759.82
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,482.49
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-10.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,482.49
Current Value
$10,759.82
Period P&L
$-1,722.66
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
-2.61%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,050.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,722.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,722.66
Gross Return
-13.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,482.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.86 445 $11,507.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.24 445 $12,121.80 $12,662.71 +$614.10
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $26.72 473 $12,638.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.32 473 $12,450.97 $12,475.12 $-187.59
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $26.11 477 $12,454.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $24.25 477 $11,564.87 $11,585.52 $-889.60
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $25.15 460 $11,569.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $23.35 460 $10,743.30 $10,759.82 $-825.70
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,759.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$759.82
Total Return: +7.60%
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