Compendium › Reversion › COST
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COST
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-48.54%
Last Month Return
$9,107.47
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$979.45
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$979.45
Current Value
$9,107.47
Period P&L
$-475.39
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.93%
Avg Hold Time
12d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,950.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-475.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-475.39
Gross Return
-48.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-48.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $979.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $949.65 9 $8,546.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $955.93 9 $8,603.41 $9,526.26 +$56.60
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $949.65 9 $8,546.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $960.58 9 $8,645.22 $9,624.67 +$98.41
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $948.30 10 $9,483.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $913.47 10 $9,134.75 $9,276.42 $-348.25
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $907.97 10 $9,079.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $891.07 10 $8,910.70 $9,107.47 $-168.95
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,107.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-892.53
Total Return: -8.93%
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