Compendium › Reversion › CRM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRM
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.65%
Last Month Return
$9,498.52
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,253.34
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:43:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

12
+2.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.7 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,253.34
Current Value
$9,498.52
Period P&L
$245.17
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+12.06%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$78,004.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$245.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$245.17
Gross Return
+2.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,253.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $206.58 44 $9,089.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 44 $10,186.00 $10,346.31 +$1,096.48
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $259.78 39 $10,131.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $243.66 39 $9,502.74 $9,717.63 $-628.68
(-6.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.43 39 $9,649.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $260.14 39 $10,145.46 $10,213.32 +$495.69
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $250.18 40 $10,007.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $232.31 40 $9,292.40 $9,498.52 $-714.80
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,498.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-501.48
Total Return: -5.01%
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