Compendium › Reversion › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.61%
Last Month Return
$13,068.16
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$13,418.98
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:26:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 50.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 40.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,418.98
Current Value
$13,068.16
Period P&L
$-350.81
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+0.44%
Worst Trade
-2.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,195.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-350.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-350.81
Gross Return
-2.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $13,418.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET $111.49 121 $13,489.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 121 $13,501.18 $13,318.54 +$11.50
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $111.87 119 $13,312.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $109.29 119 $13,004.92 $13,010.93 $-307.61
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.45 118 $12,915.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $109.93 118 $12,972.33 $13,068.16 +$57.23
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,068.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,068.16
Total Return: +30.68%
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