Compendium › Reversion › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 5 trades in period

+371.07%
Last Month Return
$10,703.03
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$274.44
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:10:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 21.7/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 17.4

30-Day Momentum

53
+13.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
8.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.2 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$274.44
Current Value
$10,703.03
Period P&L
$1,018.37
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+6.81%
Worst Trade
-0.87%
Avg Trade Return
+3.03%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,790.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,018.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,018.37
Gross Return
+371.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+371.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $274.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $200.22 46 $9,210.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $203.49 46 $9,360.77 $9,435.11 +$150.65
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $200.22 46 $9,210.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $198.48 46 $9,129.85 $9,354.84 $-80.27
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.24 46 $9,165.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET $209.68 46 $9,645.28 $9,835.08 +$480.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.24 46 $9,165.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $212.82 46 $9,789.49 $10,459.53 +$624.45
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $208.71 50 $10,435.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $213.58 50 $10,679.00 $10,703.03 +$243.50
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,703.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$703.03
Total Return: +7.03%
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