Compendium › Reversion › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.68%
Last Month Return
$9,900.46
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,968.37
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:12:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
10.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 13.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,968.37
Current Value
$9,900.46
Period P&L
$-67.91
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,891.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-67.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-67.91
Gross Return
-0.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,968.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $103.71 96 $9,956.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 96 $9,911.66 $9,973.80 $-44.50
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $101.66 98 $9,962.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 98 $9,661.82 $9,672.94 $-300.86
(-3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $99.85 96 $9,585.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $102.22 96 $9,813.12 $9,900.46 +$227.52
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,900.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-99.54
Total Return: -1.00%
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