Compendium › Reversion › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.13%
Last Month Return
$9,040.52
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,028.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:30:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,028.62
Current Value
$9,040.52
Period P&L
$11.90
Max Drawdown
-7.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+3.25%
Worst Trade
-2.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$52,034.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$11.90
Gross Return
+0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,028.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 20 $8,757.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $434.85 20 $8,697.00 $8,989.22 $-60.40
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $442.73 20 $8,854.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 20 $8,632.60 $8,767.22 $-222.00
(-2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $420.48 20 $8,409.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $434.15 20 $8,683.00 $9,040.52 +$273.30
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,040.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-959.48
Total Return: -9.59%
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