Compendium › Reversion › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+8.42%
Last Month Return
$12,054.50
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$11,118.82
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
11.7/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 46.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 42.4

30-Day Momentum

46
+9.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
4.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.9 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,118.82
Current Value
$12,054.50
Period P&L
$935.67
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.86

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.52%
Worst Trade
-1.27%
Avg Trade Return
+2.47%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,130.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$935.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$935.67
Gross Return
+8.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,118.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $344.38 31 $10,675.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 31 $10,743.98 $11,035.65 +$68.34
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $340.12 32 $10,883.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 32 $10,745.28 $10,897.09 $-138.56
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.05 32 $10,593.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $347.61 32 $11,123.68 $11,427.33 +$530.24
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $344.51 33 $11,368.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $363.51 33 $11,995.98 $12,054.50 +$627.17
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,054.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,054.50
Total Return: +20.54%
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