Compendium › Reversion › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-10.95%
Last Month Return
$10,705.36
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,021.74
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:07:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,021.74
Current Value
$10,705.36
Period P&L
$-1,316.38
Max Drawdown
-2.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-1.61%
Worst Trade
-6.35%
Avg Trade Return
-3.78%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$67,740.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,316.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,316.38
Gross Return
-10.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,021.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET $333.86 35 $11,685.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:40am ET $328.47 35 $11,496.45 $11,827.84 $-188.65
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $327.22 36 $11,779.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $306.43 36 $11,031.48 $11,079.40 $-748.44
(-6.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $307.25 36 $11,061.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $296.86 36 $10,686.96 $10,705.36 $-374.04
(-3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,705.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$705.36
Total Return: +7.05%
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