Compendium › Reversion › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-26 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.42%
Last Month Return
$6,750.26
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,062.52
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:33:11

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,553
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,062.52
Current Value
$6,750.26
Period P&L
$-312.27
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-7.96%
Avg Trade Return
-1.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,682.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-312.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-312.27
Gross Return
-4.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,062.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $5.32 1,349 $7,176.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $5.59 1,349 $7,535.92 $7,536.43 +$359.24
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $6.72 1,121 $7,533.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $6.18 1,121 $6,933.38 $6,936.58 $-599.85
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.39 1,085 $6,933.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $5.91 1,085 $6,412.35 $6,415.78 $-520.80
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $5.67 1,130 $6,411.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.97 1,130 $6,746.10 $6,750.26 +$334.48
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,750.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,249.74
Total Return: -32.50%
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