Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:15:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.9/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

26
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.2 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,105.99
Current Value
$14,354.32
Period P&L
$248.33
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+7.62%
Worst Trade
-7.95%
Avg Trade Return
+1.35%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,993.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$248.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$248.33
Gross Return
+1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $14,105.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $13.78 972 $13,392.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 972 $14,108.58 $14,120.57 +$715.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 1,005 $14,120.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:00am ET $14.77 1,005 $14,845.86 $14,846.18 +$725.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $14.53 1,021 $14,840.23
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 1,021 $13,660.98 $13,666.93 $-1,179.25
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $12.89 1,060 $13,658.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $11.96 1,060 $12,677.71 $12,686.54 $-980.39
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 973 $12,678.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $13.70 973 $13,330.10 $13,338.45 +$651.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $14.83 899 $13,332.17
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $15.96 899 $14,348.04 $14,354.32 +$1,015.87
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,354.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,354.32
Total Return: +43.54%
Back to Reversion