Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 69.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 69.3

30-Day Momentum

40
+12.6%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$23,030.45
Current Value
$27,453.26
Period P&L
$4,422.82
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+6.96%
Worst Trade
-8.22%
Avg Trade Return
+2.44%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$372,769.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,422.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,422.82
Gross Return
+19.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $23,030.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $155.44 148 $23,005.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 148 $21,297.21 $21,322.53 $-1,707.91
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 156 $21,303.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $143.87 156 $22,443.72 $22,462.89 +$1,140.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 156 $21,303.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $144.78 156 $22,585.68 $23,745.21 +$1,282.32
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.05 165 $23,603.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.29 165 $21,662.03 $21,803.99 $-1,941.22
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $146.90 148 $21,741.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $154.78 148 $22,907.44 $22,970.23 +$1,166.24
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $151.02 152 $22,955.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $161.52 152 $24,551.80 $24,566.99 +$1,596.76
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 144 $24,416.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $179.06 144 $25,784.34 $25,934.69 +$1,367.70
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $183.30 141 $25,845.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $194.07 141 $27,363.87 $27,453.26 +$1,518.57
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,453.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,453.26
Total Return: +174.53%
Back to Reversion