Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:02:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 49.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

43
+14.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,122.77
Current Value
$20,494.64
Period P&L
$2,371.87
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
-7.09%
Avg Trade Return
+2.86%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,696.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,371.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,371.87
Gross Return
+13.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $18,122.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $285.51 62 $17,701.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $301.26 62 $18,677.81 $18,920.40 +$976.19
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:00am ET $299.75 63 $18,884.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $278.50 63 $17,545.34 $17,581.49 $-1,338.91
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $283.76 61 $17,309.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $298.96 61 $18,236.86 $18,508.99 +$927.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $310.24 59 $18,304.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $326.36 59 $19,254.95 $19,459.78 +$950.79
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $328.37 59 $19,373.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:35am ET $345.91 59 $20,408.69 $20,494.64 +$1,034.86
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,494.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,494.64
Total Return: +104.95%
Back to Reversion