Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:10:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

24
+4.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.8 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,526
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,448.25
Current Value
$11,692.32
Period P&L
$244.07
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-7.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,649.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$244.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$244.07
Gross Return
+2.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,448.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $206.82 53 $10,961.46
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:05am ET $217.33 53 $11,518.49 $11,716.96 +$557.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $209.60 55 $11,528.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $221.02 55 $12,156.37 $12,345.33 +$628.37
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $262.77 46 $12,087.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $276.28 46 $12,708.88 $12,966.60 +$621.27
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $253.62 51 $12,934.62
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $235.37 51 $12,003.62 $12,035.60 $-931.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $218.34 55 $12,008.43
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $229.95 55 $12,647.25 $12,674.42 +$638.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $236.57 53 $12,538.22
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $218.04 53 $11,556.12 $11,692.32 $-982.10
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,692.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,692.32
Total Return: +16.92%
Back to Reversion