Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:30:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

15
+2.1%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.1 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,931.11
Current Value
$9,117.96
Period P&L
$186.85
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+7.32%
Worst Trade
-7.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,209.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$186.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$186.85
Gross Return
+2.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,931.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $6.52 1,369 $8,925.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $6.86 1,369 $9,386.55 $9,391.78 +$460.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $6.74 1,393 $9,390.21
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $6.24 1,393 $8,699.28 $8,700.85 $-690.93
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $6.15 1,414 $8,696.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.60 1,414 $9,332.40 $9,337.15 +$636.30
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.26 1,491 $9,333.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $5.81 1,491 $8,662.71 $8,666.65 $-670.50
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 1,517 $8,665.86
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $6.01 1,517 $9,117.17 $9,117.96 +$451.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,117.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-882.04
Total Return: -8.82%
Back to Reversion