Compendium › Reversion › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.89%
Last Month Return
$7,686.81
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$7,997.80
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 19:48:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 8.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,997.80
Current Value
$7,686.81
Period P&L
$-310.99
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-7.30%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,919.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-310.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-310.99
Gross Return
-3.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,997.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.72 136 $7,985.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.68 136 $7,844.48 $7,886.96 $-141.44
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $56.90 138 $7,852.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $59.84 138 $8,257.55 $8,292.31 +$405.35
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.23 140 $8,292.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 140 $7,686.70 $7,686.81 $-605.50
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,686.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,313.19
Total Return: -23.13%
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