Compendium › Reversion › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-6782.02%
Last Month Return
$7,898.92
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$5.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 8.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.8%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5.91
Current Value
$7,898.92
Period P&L
$-400.64
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+2.99%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,218.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-400.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-400.64
Gross Return
-6782.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-6782.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $5.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $61.30 136 $8,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $60.62 136 $8,244.32 $8,293.39 $-92.48
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $61.30 136 $8,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $61.04 136 $8,301.44 $8,258.03 $-35.36
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.93 137 $8,210.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $61.72 137 $8,455.64 $8,503.26 +$245.23
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $63.20 134 $8,468.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $58.69 134 $7,864.46 $7,898.92 $-604.34
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,898.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,101.08
Total Return: -21.01%
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