Compendium › Reversion › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 22 trades in period

+11.86%
Last Year Return
$12,419.29
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$11,102.92
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 48.2/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,102.92
Current Value
$12,419.29
Period P&L
$1,316.37
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+8.79%
Worst Trade
-7.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$400,639.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,316.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,316.37
Gross Return
+11.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,102.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $44.70 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET $45.48 0 $0.00 $11,297.60 +$194.68
(+1.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $47.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $46.91 0 $0.00 $11,259.20 $-38.40
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $46.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:40am ET $45.71 0 $0.00 $11,165.26 $-93.94
(-0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $54.69 0 $0.00 $11,287.83 +$122.57
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 189 $11,274.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $59.12 189 $11,173.68 $11,186.72 $-101.11
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.35 185 $11,164.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.63 185 $10,847.47 $10,869.44 $-317.28
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.10 180 $10,818.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 180 $10,473.30 $10,524.74 $-344.70
(-3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 181 $10,501.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 181 $10,545.96 $10,569.08 +$44.34
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.96 182 $10,547.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.35 182 $10,255.70 $10,276.97 $-292.11
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $56.47 181 $10,221.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $59.31 181 $10,734.21 $10,789.20 +$512.23
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $59.26 182 $10,785.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $55.10 182 $10,028.82 $10,032.70 $-756.50
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.85 179 $9,998.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $56.29 179 $10,076.80 $10,111.46 +$78.76
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 179 $10,060.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $55.85 179 $9,998.04 $10,048.81 $-62.65
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 179 $10,060.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 179 $10,245.96 $10,234.07 +$185.26
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.03 176 $10,212.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.00 176 $10,736.00 $10,757.67 +$523.60
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $60.65 177 $10,735.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $64.03 177 $11,332.43 $11,354.16 +$596.49
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.03 176 $10,212.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $63.13 176 $11,110.00 $12,251.76 +$897.60
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $64.03 191 $12,230.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET $64.26 191 $12,273.66 $12,294.98 +$43.22
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $64.50 190 $12,255.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $67.80 190 $12,882.00 $12,921.98 +$627.00
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.96 193 $12,730.28 $12,752.14 $-169.84
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $67.58 193 $13,042.94 $12,894.96 +$142.82
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $66.70 193 $12,873.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $64.24 193 $12,398.32 $12,419.29 $-475.67
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,419.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,419.29
Total Return: +24.19%
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