Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 53.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

12
+1.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.9 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,103.96
Current Value
$13,068.98
Period P&L
$1,965.02
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-5.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$434,232.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,965.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,965.02
Gross Return
+17.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,103.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET $120.33 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $117.57 0 $0.00 $10,850.04 $-253.92
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $122.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:15am ET $124.23 0 $0.00 $10,974.12 +$124.08
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $118.74 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $120.42 0 $0.00 $11,128.68 +$154.56
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.86 77 $11,000.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $145.10 77 $11,173.08 $11,301.54 +$172.86
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $143.93 78 $11,226.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.71 78 $10,585.38 $10,659.99 $-641.55
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $135.79 78 $10,591.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.41 $11,190.78 +$530.79
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 81 $11,175.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $133.95 81 $10,849.95 $10,865.16 $-325.62
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 82 $10,810.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 82 $10,776.44 $10,831.54 $-33.62
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $132.10 81 $10,700.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $130.28 81 $10,552.68 $10,684.12 $-147.42
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:10am ET $129.38 82 $10,609.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $135.86 82 $11,140.52 $11,215.48 +$531.36
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $134.82 83 $11,190.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $130.29 83 $10,814.07 $10,839.49 $-375.99
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $126.44 85 $10,747.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $123.79 85 $10,522.15 $10,614.24 $-225.25
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $125.35 84 $10,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $132.88 84 $11,161.92 $11,246.76 +$632.52
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.95 83 $11,117.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $134.82 83 $11,190.47 $11,319.39 +$72.63
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.95 83 $11,117.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $130.29 83 $10,814.07 $11,015.61 $-303.78
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $129.19 85 $10,981.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $136.36 85 $11,590.60 $11,625.06 +$609.45
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $129.40 89 $11,516.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $136.17 89 $12,119.13 $12,227.59 +$602.53
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $136.37 89 $12,137.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:40am ET $143.25 89 $12,749.25 $12,839.79 +$612.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 87 $12,762.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 87 $12,497.55 $12,574.44 $-265.35
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 87 $12,762.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $150.02 87 $13,051.74 $12,863.28 +$288.84
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $150.54 85 $12,795.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $145.63 85 $12,378.55 $12,445.93 $-417.35
(-3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.57 85 $12,373.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $152.90 85 $12,996.50 $13,068.98 +$623.05
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,068.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,068.98
Total Return: +30.69%
Back to Reversion