Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:34:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,903
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,220.42
Current Value
$10,705.36
Period P&L
$-515.06
Max Drawdown
-2.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
9 / 13
Best Trade
+7.74%
Worst Trade
-7.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$407,849.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-515.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-515.06
Gross Return
-4.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,220.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:25am ET $372.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET $371.35 0 $0.00 $11,175.72 $-44.70
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $344.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:35pm ET $337.62 0 $0.00 $10,950.92 $-224.80
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $346.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 11:40am ET $349.91 0 $0.00 $11,060.04 +$109.12
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $357.00 30 $10,710.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $344.11 30 $10,323.30 $10,673.34 $-386.70
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $341.63 31 $10,590.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $324.95 31 $10,073.45 $10,156.26 $-517.08
(-4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $326.50 31 $10,121.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $337.03 31 $10,447.93 $10,482.69 +$326.43
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $341.06 30 $10,231.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $336.89 30 $10,106.70 $10,357.67 $-125.02
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $332.98 31 $10,322.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $323.38 31 $10,024.63 $10,059.91 $-297.76
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $313.74 32 $10,039.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $291.12 32 $9,315.84 $9,336.07 $-723.84
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $299.26 31 $9,277.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $314.92 31 $9,762.52 $9,821.53 +$485.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:30am ET $310.85 31 $9,636.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $312.17 31 $9,677.12 $9,862.45 +$40.92
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $311.65 31 $9,661.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $328.89 31 $10,195.74 $10,397.20 +$534.75
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $333.07 31 $10,325.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $343.42 31 $10,645.87 $10,717.90 +$320.70
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $333.07 31 $10,325.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $358.85 31 $11,124.35 $11,517.08 +$799.18
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $337.23 34 $11,465.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $336.87 34 $11,453.58 $11,505.01 $-12.07
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $331.27 34 $11,263.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $348.56 34 $11,851.04 $12,092.87 +$587.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $337.23 34 $11,465.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $333.31 34 $11,332.54 $11,959.76 $-133.11
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $329.15 36 $11,849.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:20am ET $345.98 36 $12,455.28 $12,565.46 +$605.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $351.19 35 $12,291.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $335.51 35 $11,742.68 $12,016.49 $-548.97
(-4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET $333.86 35 $11,685.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:40am ET $328.47 35 $11,496.45 $11,827.84 $-188.65
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $327.22 36 $11,779.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $306.43 36 $11,031.48 $11,079.40 $-748.44
(-6.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $307.25 36 $11,061.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $296.86 36 $10,686.96 $10,705.36 $-374.04
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,705.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$705.36
Total Return: +7.05%
Back to Reversion