Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:17:01

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 25.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,220.42
Current Value
$10,397.20
Period P&L
$-823.22
Max Drawdown
-2.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-7.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.57%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,517.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-823.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-823.22
Gross Return
-7.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,220.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:25am ET $372.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET $371.35 0 $0.00 $11,175.72 $-44.70
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $344.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:35pm ET $337.62 0 $0.00 $10,950.92 $-224.80
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $346.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 11:40am ET $349.91 0 $0.00 $11,060.04 +$109.12
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $357.00 30 $10,710.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $344.11 30 $10,323.30 $10,673.34 $-386.70
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $341.63 31 $10,590.53
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $324.95 31 $10,073.45 $10,156.26 $-517.08
(-4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $326.50 31 $10,121.50
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $337.03 31 $10,447.93 $10,482.69 +$326.43
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $341.06 30 $10,231.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $336.89 30 $10,106.70 $10,357.67 $-125.02
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $332.98 31 $10,322.38
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $323.38 31 $10,024.63 $10,059.91 $-297.76
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $313.74 32 $10,039.68
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $291.12 32 $9,315.84 $9,336.07 $-723.84
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $299.26 31 $9,277.06
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $314.92 31 $9,762.52 $9,821.53 +$485.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:30am ET $310.85 31 $9,636.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $312.17 31 $9,677.12 $9,862.45 +$40.92
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $311.65 31 $9,661.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $328.89 31 $10,195.74 $10,397.20 +$534.75
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,397.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$397.20
Total Return: +3.97%
Back to Reversion