META Reversion's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 32 trades in period
+15.45%
Last Year Return
$12,540.18
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,861.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
42.1/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 39.2
30-Day Momentum
65
+35.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,861.81
Current Value
$12,540.18
Period P&L
$1,678.37
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
20 /
12
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-12.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$489,576.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,678.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,678.37
Gross Return
+15.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,861.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $716.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $722.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,940.37 |
+$78.56 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $696.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $705.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,067.57 |
+$127.20 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $710.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $719.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,200.17 |
+$132.60 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $660.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $669.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,351.58 |
+$151.41 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $607.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET | $614.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,466.33 |
+$114.75 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $629.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $621.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,314.59 |
$-151.74 (-1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $605.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $603.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,262.30 |
$-52.29 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $669.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $679.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,410.78 |
+$148.48 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $655.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $662.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,523.24 |
+$112.46 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $647.48 | 17 | $11,007.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $631.76 | 17 | $10,739.92 | $11,256.00 |
$-267.24 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $623.94 | 18 | $11,230.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $578.54 | 18 | $10,413.81 | $10,438.97 |
$-817.03 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $537.22 | 19 | $10,207.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $565.61 | 19 | $10,746.59 | $10,978.38 |
+$539.41 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.70 | 19 | $10,748.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 19 | $11,514.00 | $11,744.17 |
+$765.79 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $629.10 | 18 | $11,323.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $663.20 | 18 | $11,937.60 | $12,357.97 |
+$613.80 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $671.12 | 18 | $12,080.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $671.69 | 18 | $12,090.42 | $12,368.23 |
+$10.26 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $674.40 | 18 | $12,139.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.33 | 18 | $11,111.87 | $11,340.99 |
$-1,027.24 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $609.52 | 18 | $10,971.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $599.37 | 18 | $10,788.66 | $11,158.24 |
$-182.75 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $619.67 | 18 | $11,154.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.60 | 18 | $10,972.80 | $10,976.98 |
$-181.26 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $629.76 | 17 | $10,705.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $580.11 | 17 | $9,861.87 | $10,132.93 |
$-844.05 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $588.70 | 17 | $10,007.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $571.28 | 17 | $9,711.76 | $9,836.79 |
$-296.14 (-3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $561.79 | 17 | $9,550.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $601.16 | 17 | $10,219.64 | $10,505.91 |
+$669.12 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $561.79 | 17 | $9,550.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $592.72 | 17 | $10,076.24 | $11,031.63 |
+$525.72 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $604.68 | 18 | $10,884.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $661.98 | 18 | $11,915.64 | $12,063.03 |
+$1,031.40 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $662.18 | 18 | $11,919.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $607.39 | 18 | $10,933.02 | $11,076.81 |
$-986.22 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $603.07 | 18 | $10,855.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.29 | 18 | $9,473.31 | $9,694.86 |
$-1,381.95 (-12.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $582.48 | 16 | $9,319.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $596.91 | 16 | $9,550.51 | $9,925.69 |
+$230.83 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.17 | 16 | $9,426.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $547.73 | 16 | $8,763.76 | $9,262.65 |
$-663.04 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:20pm ET | $550.03 | 16 | $8,800.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.35 | 16 | $9,429.68 | $9,891.93 |
+$629.28 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $574.78 | 17 | $9,771.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $616.27 | 17 | $10,476.51 | $10,597.17 |
+$705.24 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $607.66 | 17 | $10,330.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $650.75 | 17 | $11,062.75 | $11,329.78 |
+$732.61 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $648.99 | 17 | $11,032.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $682.84 | 17 | $11,608.28 | $11,905.23 |
+$575.45 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $662.53 | 17 | $11,263.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $699.89 | 17 | $11,898.05 | $12,540.18 |
+$634.95 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,540.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,540.18
Total Return:
+25.40%