Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,569.93
Current Value
$11,385.96
Period P&L
$816.03
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+5.70%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,851.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$816.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$816.03
Gross Return
+7.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,569.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $230.63 44 $10,147.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:45am ET $242.22 44 $10,657.68 $10,824.25 +$509.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $247.07 43 $10,624.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $259.61 43 $11,163.40 $11,363.64 +$539.39
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $255.05 44 $11,222.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $253.74 44 $11,164.56 $11,306.00 $-57.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $254.49 44 $11,197.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.92 44 $11,304.48 $11,412.92 +$106.92
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $255.05 44 $11,222.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $258.77 44 $11,385.88 $11,576.60 +$163.68
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $253.64 45 $11,413.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $246.24 45 $11,081.02 $11,243.82 $-332.78
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $249.48 45 $11,226.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $263.69 45 $11,866.05 $11,883.49 +$639.67
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $264.73 44 $11,648.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $252.50 44 $11,110.00 $11,345.37 $-538.12
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $264.73 44 $11,648.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $260.81 44 $11,475.64 $11,172.89 $-172.48
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $256.73 43 $11,039.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $261.69 43 $11,252.67 $11,385.96 +$213.07
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,385.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,385.96
Total Return: +13.86%
Back to Reversion