Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 23.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.0

30-Day Momentum

59
+23.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.4 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,092.82
Current Value
$10,902.72
Period P&L
$4,809.90
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
12 / 5
Best Trade
+42.63%
Worst Trade
-12.35%
Avg Trade Return
+3.90%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$260,364.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,809.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,809.90
Gross Return
+78.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+78.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $6,092.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $2.07 3,165 $6,535.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $1.81 3,165 $5,728.65 $5,728.84 $-807.08
(-12.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:50am ET $2.02 2,842 $5,727.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $2.13 2,842 $6,039.25 $6,040.61 +$311.77
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.90 3,170 $6,038.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:20am ET $1.76 3,170 $5,578.88 $5,580.64 $-459.97
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.65 3,377 $5,579.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:55am ET $1.74 3,377 $5,875.98 $5,877.14 +$296.50
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.90 3,093 $5,876.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $2.02 3,093 $6,238.27 $6,238.71 +$361.57
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $2.01 3,111 $6,237.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $2.20 3,111 $6,859.75 $6,860.91 +$622.20
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $2.33 2,944 $6,859.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $2.16 2,944 $6,366.40 $6,367.50 $-493.41
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $2.31 2,762 $6,366.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $2.43 2,762 $6,711.66 $6,712.75 +$345.25
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.90 3,093 $5,876.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $2.71 3,093 $8,382.03 $9,218.08 +$2,505.33
(+42.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $2.80 3,292 $9,217.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $2.60 3,292 $8,559.20 $8,559.68 $-658.40
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $2.51 3,408 $8,558.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET $2.64 3,408 $9,014.16 $9,015.67 +$455.99
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $2.53 3,563 $9,014.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:10am ET $2.34 3,563 $8,337.42 $8,338.70 $-676.97
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $2.52 3,308 $8,336.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $2.67 3,308 $8,848.90 $8,851.11 +$512.41
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $2.52 3,308 $8,336.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $2.65 3,308 $8,782.74 $9,297.36 +$446.25
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $2.64 3,521 $9,295.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $2.79 3,521 $9,814.79 $9,816.71 +$519.35
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $2.54 3,864 $9,814.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $2.67 3,864 $10,325.77 $10,327.92 +$511.21
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $2.69 3,832 $10,327.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $2.85 3,832 $10,902.04 $10,902.72 +$574.80
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,902.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$902.72
Total Return: +9.03%
Back to Reversion