Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-8.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$161.92
Current Value
$9,376.58
Period P&L
$-1,919.70
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-9.07%
Avg Trade Return
-1.79%
Avg Hold Time
12d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$192,401.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,919.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,919.70
Gross Return
-1185.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-1185.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $161.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.49 33 $11,071.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.57 33 $11,304.81 $11,403.53 +$233.64
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.49 33 $11,071.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $354.06 33 $11,683.98 $12,016.34 +$612.81
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $355.06 33 $11,716.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $356.68 33 $11,770.44 $12,069.80 +$53.46
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET $353.05 34 $12,003.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $321.04 34 $10,915.36 $10,981.29 $-1,088.51
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $355.06 33 $11,716.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $331.85 33 $10,950.89 $10,215.20 $-766.09
(-6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.63 29 $9,965.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.55 29 $9,962.95 $10,213.02 $-2.18
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $340.20 30 $10,206.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 30 $10,020.60 $10,027.62 $-185.40
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $331.00 30 $9,930.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $320.43 30 $9,612.90 $9,710.52 $-317.10
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $324.69 29 $9,416.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $313.17 29 $9,082.07 $9,376.58 $-333.94
(-3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,376.58
Net Profit/Loss: $-623.42
Total Return: -6.23%
Back to Reversion