Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 71.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 62.3

30-Day Momentum

27
+5.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,940
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$180.12
Current Value
$15,243.26
Period P&L
$2,850.93
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+8.53%
Worst Trade
-7.18%
Avg Trade Return
+2.02%
Avg Hold Time
9.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$329,080.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,850.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,850.93
Gross Return
+1582.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+1582.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $180.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $198.53 61 $12,110.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $211.60 61 $12,907.30 $12,985.55 +$796.97
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $198.53 61 $12,110.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $215.46 61 $13,143.36 $14,018.58 +$1,033.03
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $207.10 67 $13,875.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:40am ET $192.23 67 $12,879.41 $13,022.62 $-995.96
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.25 66 $12,886.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:25am ET $205.11 66 $13,537.26 $13,673.38 +$650.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET $207.20 65 $13,467.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:45am ET $202.66 65 $13,172.90 $13,378.61 $-294.78
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $207.10 67 $13,875.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $209.16 67 $14,013.72 $13,516.97 +$138.36
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $206.39 65 $13,415.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $209.30 65 $13,604.50 $13,706.12 +$189.15
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $205.76 66 $13,580.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $217.26 66 $14,339.16 $14,465.12 +$759.00
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $218.61 66 $14,428.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.73 66 $14,238.18 $14,275.04 $-190.08
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $218.61 66 $14,428.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $224.25 66 $14,800.50 $14,647.28 +$372.24
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $220.44 66 $14,549.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $217.57 66 $14,359.62 $14,457.86 $-189.42
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $216.46 66 $14,286.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $228.36 66 $15,071.76 $15,243.26 +$785.40
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,243.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,243.26
Total Return: +52.43%
Back to Reversion