Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-19.47
Current Value
$9,193.32
Period P&L
$263.15
Max Drawdown
-7.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+8.91%
Worst Trade
-7.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,910.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$263.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$263.15
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $-19.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,043.06 9 $9,387.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $969.76 9 $8,727.84 $9,146.22 $-659.66
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,043.06 9 $9,387.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $999.32 9 $8,993.88 $8,752.60 $-393.62
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,006.72 8 $8,053.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 8 $8,771.12 $9,469.96 +$717.36
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $1,095.48 8 $8,763.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,066.85 8 $8,534.84 $9,240.96 $-229.00
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,006.72 8 $8,053.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.55 8 $8,588.40 $9,775.60 +$534.64
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $1,092.01 8 $8,736.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $1,139.97 8 $9,119.76 $10,159.28 +$383.68
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET $1,142.33 8 $9,138.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:20am ET $1,149.99 8 $9,199.92 $10,220.56 +$61.28
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,167.51 8 $9,340.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,118.73 8 $8,949.88 $9,830.36 $-390.20
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,112.56 8 $8,900.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,032.93 8 $8,263.44 $9,193.32 $-637.04
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,193.32
Net Profit/Loss: $-806.68
Total Return: -8.07%
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