Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 48.2/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-91.54
Current Value
$12,419.29
Period P&L
$2,592.45
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+8.79%
Worst Trade
-3.69%
Avg Trade Return
+2.23%
Avg Hold Time
12.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,191.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,592.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,592.45
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $-91.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 179 $10,060.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $55.85 179 $9,998.04 $10,048.81 $-62.65
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 179 $10,060.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 179 $10,245.96 $10,234.07 +$185.26
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.03 176 $10,212.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.00 176 $10,736.00 $10,757.67 +$523.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $60.65 177 $10,735.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $64.03 177 $11,332.43 $11,354.16 +$596.49
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.03 176 $10,212.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $63.13 176 $11,110.00 $12,251.76 +$897.60
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $64.03 191 $12,230.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET $64.26 191 $12,273.66 $12,294.98 +$43.22
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $64.50 190 $12,255.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $67.80 190 $12,882.00 $12,921.98 +$627.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.96 193 $12,730.28 $12,752.14 $-169.84
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.84 193 $12,900.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $67.58 193 $13,042.94 $12,894.96 +$142.82
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $66.70 193 $12,873.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $64.24 193 $12,398.32 $12,419.29 $-475.67
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,419.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,419.29
Total Return: +24.19%
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