Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-10.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$171.33
Current Value
$10,759.82
Period P&L
$1,930.47
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+13.01%
Worst Trade
-7.90%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,744.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,930.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,930.47
Gross Return
+1126.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+1126.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $171.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $22.25 382 $8,501.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $25.15 382 $9,607.30 $9,622.01 +$1,105.89
(+13.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $22.25 382 $8,501.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $23.61 382 $9,019.02 $10,139.62 +$517.61
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $23.29 435 $10,131.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $24.62 435 $10,709.70 $10,718.17 +$578.55
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $23.49 456 $10,709.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $21.63 456 $9,863.28 $9,872.29 $-845.88
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $23.11 427 $9,870.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $24.34 427 $10,393.18 $10,395.36 +$523.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $23.46 443 $10,392.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $24.77 443 $10,973.11 $10,975.69 +$580.33
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:05am ET $24.42 449 $10,966.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $25.66 449 $11,519.10 $11,527.96 +$552.27
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.86 445 $11,507.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $27.03 445 $12,028.35 $12,048.61 +$520.65
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.86 445 $11,507.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.24 445 $12,121.80 $12,662.71 +$614.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $26.72 473 $12,638.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.32 473 $12,450.97 $12,475.12 $-187.59
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $26.11 477 $12,454.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $24.25 477 $11,564.87 $11,585.52 $-889.60
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $25.15 460 $11,569.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $23.35 460 $10,743.30 $10,759.82 $-825.70
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,759.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$759.82
Total Return: +7.60%
Back to Reversion