Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,871.69
Current Value
$9,814.15
Period P&L
$942.46
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,708.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$942.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$942.46
Gross Return
+10.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,871.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $108.93 84 $9,150.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $104.19 84 $8,751.96 $8,769.63 $-398.16
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $110.73 79 $8,747.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $113.60 79 $8,974.01 $8,995.96 +$226.33
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $110.73 79 $8,747.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $117.33 79 $9,269.46 $9,517.75 +$521.79
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $118.01 80 $9,440.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:20am ET $121.06 80 $9,684.80 $9,761.75 +$244.00
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $125.36 77 $9,652.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET $131.83 77 $10,151.07 $10,260.10 +$498.35
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.16 76 $10,196.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $133.16 76 $10,119.84 $10,183.78 $-76.32
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.16 76 $10,196.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $137.03 76 $10,414.28 $10,401.90 +$218.12
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $134.50 77 $10,356.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $136.51 77 $10,511.27 $10,556.67 +$154.77
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $138.73 76 $10,543.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $128.96 76 $9,800.96 $9,814.15 $-742.52
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,814.15
Net Profit/Loss: $-185.85
Total Return: -1.86%
Back to Reversion