Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,425.66
Current Value
$9,107.47
Period P&L
$-318.19
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
12.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,320.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-318.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-318.19
Gross Return
-3.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,425.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $959.13 9 $8,632.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $952.01 9 $8,568.09 $9,460.81 $-64.08
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $955.00 9 $8,595.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:05am ET $947.46 9 $8,527.14 $9,392.95 $-67.86
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $955.00 9 $8,595.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $955.68 9 $8,601.16 $9,399.11 +$6.16
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $939.05 10 $9,390.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $946.10 10 $9,461.05 $9,469.66 +$70.55
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $949.65 9 $8,546.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $955.93 9 $8,603.41 $9,526.26 +$56.60
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $949.65 9 $8,546.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $960.58 9 $8,645.22 $9,624.67 +$98.41
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $948.30 10 $9,483.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $913.47 10 $9,134.75 $9,276.42 $-348.25
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $907.97 10 $9,079.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $891.07 10 $8,910.70 $9,107.47 $-168.95
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,107.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-892.53
Total Return: -8.93%
Back to Reversion