Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:37:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 7.9/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-15.8%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,469.18
Current Value
$6,191.79
Period P&L
$-2,277.39
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+7.51%
Worst Trade
-7.66%
Avg Trade Return
-2.42%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,255.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,277.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,277.39
Gross Return
-26.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,469.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $195.73 43 $8,416.39
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 43 $7,781.93 $7,861.16 $-634.46
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $184.91 42 $7,766.22
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $187.54 42 $7,876.68 $7,971.62 +$110.46
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $184.76 43 $7,944.89
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $170.78 43 $7,343.54 $7,370.26 $-601.36
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $167.74 43 $7,212.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $176.63 43 $7,595.09 $7,752.53 +$382.27
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.88 41 $7,744.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 41 $7,150.81 $7,159.26 $-593.27
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $181.52 39 $7,079.28
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $186.46 39 $7,272.13 $7,352.12 +$192.86
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $179.39 40 $7,175.60
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $166.72 40 $6,668.80 $6,845.32 $-506.80
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $172.13 39 $6,713.07
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 39 $7,216.95 $7,349.20 +$503.88
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $176.04 41 $7,217.84
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $185.79 41 $7,617.59 $7,748.95 +$399.75
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.07 37 $7,735.59
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $193.85 37 $7,172.45 $7,185.81 $-563.14
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.09 38 $7,185.42
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $175.21 38 $6,657.79 $6,658.18 $-527.63
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $173.38 38 $6,588.57
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $161.11 38 $6,122.18 $6,191.79 $-466.39
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,191.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,808.21
Total Return: -38.08%
Back to Reversion