Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

12
+2.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.7 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,920.54
Current Value
$9,498.52
Period P&L
$3,577.97
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
11 / 3
Best Trade
+12.06%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
+3.31%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$222,233.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,577.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,577.97
Gross Return
+60.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+60.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $5,920.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.10 39 $6,126.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $159.48 39 $6,219.72 $6,284.80 +$93.01
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 39 $6,134.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:10am ET $165.21 39 $6,443.00 $6,593.10 +$308.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.93 40 $6,557.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:40am ET $172.46 40 $6,898.20 $6,934.30 +$341.20
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $169.69 40 $6,787.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET $157.68 40 $6,307.20 $6,453.90 $-480.40
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $175.46 36 $6,316.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $184.29 36 $6,634.26 $6,771.78 +$317.88
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.93 40 $6,557.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 40 $7,207.00 $7,421.78 +$650.00
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $178.78 41 $7,329.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 41 $7,811.73 $7,903.53 +$481.75
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $183.26 43 $7,879.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $194.26 43 $8,353.18 $8,376.74 +$473.21
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $183.48 45 $8,256.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $192.96 45 $8,682.98 $8,803.23 +$426.49
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $196.36 44 $8,639.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $206.51 44 $9,086.44 $9,249.83 +$446.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $206.58 44 $9,089.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 44 $10,186.00 $10,346.31 +$1,096.48
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $259.78 39 $10,131.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $243.66 39 $9,502.74 $9,717.63 $-628.68
(-6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.43 39 $9,649.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $260.14 39 $10,145.46 $10,213.32 +$495.69
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $250.18 40 $10,007.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $232.31 40 $9,292.40 $9,498.52 $-714.80
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,498.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-501.48
Total Return: -5.01%
Back to Reversion