Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 50.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 40.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,963.97
Current Value
$13,068.16
Period P&L
$-1,895.80
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
-1.07%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$275,428.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,895.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,895.80
Gross Return
-12.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $14,963.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $118.52 123 $14,578.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $113.05 123 $13,905.64 $14,014.29 $-672.60
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $112.98 124 $14,009.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.70 124 $14,718.80 $14,723.57 +$709.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $119.05 123 $14,643.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:45am ET $110.47 123 $13,587.81 $13,668.23 $-1,055.34
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.14 121 $13,569.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $114.70 121 $13,878.70 $13,977.38 +$309.16
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $114.61 121 $13,867.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $120.45 121 $14,574.45 $14,684.02 +$706.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $121.06 121 $14,648.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $111.74 121 $13,519.94 $13,555.70 $-1,128.32
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET $111.49 121 $13,489.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $109.43 121 $13,241.03 $13,307.04 $-248.66
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET $111.49 121 $13,489.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 121 $13,501.18 $13,318.54 +$11.50
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $111.87 119 $13,312.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $109.29 119 $13,004.92 $13,010.93 $-307.61
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.45 118 $12,915.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $109.93 118 $12,972.33 $13,068.16 +$57.23
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,068.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,068.16
Total Return: +30.68%
Back to Reversion