Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 21.7/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 17.4

30-Day Momentum

53
+13.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
8.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.2 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,893.57
Current Value
$10,703.03
Period P&L
$2,809.46
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.80

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+7.49%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+2.91%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$178,929.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,809.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,809.46
Gross Return
+35.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,893.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $175.76 46 $8,085.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $168.09 46 $7,732.14 $7,832.39 $-353.05
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $177.27 44 $7,799.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $186.69 44 $8,214.36 $8,247.02 +$414.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $186.12 44 $8,189.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $196.60 44 $8,650.40 $8,708.14 +$461.12
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $177.27 44 $7,799.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $190.55 44 $8,384.04 $9,292.45 +$584.31
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $194.60 47 $9,146.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $194.43 47 $9,138.21 $9,284.46 $-7.99
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $200.22 46 $9,210.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $203.49 46 $9,360.77 $9,435.11 +$150.65
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $200.22 46 $9,210.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $198.48 46 $9,129.85 $9,354.84 $-80.27
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.24 46 $9,165.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET $209.68 46 $9,645.28 $9,835.08 +$480.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.24 46 $9,165.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $212.82 46 $9,789.49 $10,459.53 +$624.45
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $208.71 50 $10,435.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $213.58 50 $10,679.00 $10,703.03 +$243.50
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,703.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$703.03
Total Return: +7.03%
Back to Reversion