Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 53.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

12
+1.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.9 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,632.30
Current Value
$13,068.98
Period P&L
$2,436.68
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
10.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,644.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,436.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,436.68
Gross Return
+22.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,632.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $125.35 84 $10,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $132.88 84 $11,161.92 $11,246.76 +$632.52
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.95 83 $11,117.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $134.82 83 $11,190.47 $11,319.39 +$72.63
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.95 83 $11,117.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $130.29 83 $10,814.07 $11,015.61 $-303.78
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $129.19 85 $10,981.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $136.36 85 $11,590.60 $11,625.06 +$609.45
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $129.40 89 $11,516.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $136.17 89 $12,119.13 $12,227.59 +$602.53
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $136.37 89 $12,137.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:40am ET $143.25 89 $12,749.25 $12,839.79 +$612.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 87 $12,762.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 87 $12,497.55 $12,574.44 $-265.35
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 87 $12,762.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $150.02 87 $13,051.74 $12,863.28 +$288.84
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $150.54 85 $12,795.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $145.63 85 $12,378.55 $12,445.93 $-417.35
(-3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.57 85 $12,373.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $152.90 85 $12,996.50 $13,068.98 +$623.05
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,068.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,068.98
Total Return: +30.69%
Back to Reversion