Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:10:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,622.90
Current Value
$8,143.50
Period P&L
$-479.40
Max Drawdown
-7.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-4.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,620.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-479.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-479.40
Gross Return
-5.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,622.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 21 $8,415.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $421.07 21 $8,842.47 $9,049.62 +$426.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 20 $8,757.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $434.85 20 $8,697.00 $8,989.22 $-60.40
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $442.73 20 $8,854.60
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 20 $8,632.60 $8,767.22 $-222.00
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $420.48 20 $8,409.70
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $434.15 20 $8,683.00 $9,040.52 +$273.30
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $432.53 20 $8,650.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $414.79 20 $8,295.80 $8,685.72 $-354.80
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $412.15 21 $8,655.15
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $397.72 21 $8,352.12 $8,382.69 $-303.03
(-3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $395.55 21 $8,306.55
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $384.16 21 $8,067.36 $8,143.50 $-239.19
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,143.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,856.50
Total Return: -18.57%
Back to Reversion