Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 11.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+4.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.1 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,792.45
Current Value
$9,766.16
Period P&L
$-6,026.29
Max Drawdown
-38.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+9.31%
Worst Trade
-19.96%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$472,171.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,026.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,026.29
Gross Return
-38.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-38.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $15,792.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $132.91 112 $14,885.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $140.35 112 $15,719.20 $15,799.17 +$833.28
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $125.99 125 $15,748.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $133.59 125 $16,698.13 $16,749.17 +$950.00
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $133.43 125 $16,678.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $123.19 125 $15,399.37 $15,469.80 $-1,279.37
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $124.60 124 $15,449.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $111.86 124 $13,870.02 $13,890.04 $-1,579.76
(-10.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $105.98 131 $13,883.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $114.99 131 $15,063.69 $15,070.35 +$1,180.31
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $108.80 138 $15,014.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:20am ET $100.90 138 $13,924.20 $13,980.15 $-1,090.20
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $97.79 142 $13,886.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $90.15 142 $12,801.30 $12,895.27 $-1,084.88
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $98.10 131 $12,851.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $103.51 131 $13,559.81 $13,603.98 +$708.71
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $104.78 129 $13,515.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $96.02 129 $12,386.58 $12,474.58 $-1,129.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $90.94 137 $12,458.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $84.56 137 $11,584.87 $11,600.66 $-873.92
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $108.80 138 $15,014.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.08 138 $12,017.26 $8,603.52 $-2,997.14
(-20.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $91.96 93 $8,552.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $97.23 93 $9,042.39 $9,093.63 +$490.11
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $98.97 91 $9,006.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $105.57 91 $9,607.17 $9,694.08 +$600.45
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $102.18 94 $9,604.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $93.97 94 $8,833.18 $8,922.34 $-771.74
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $91.26 97 $8,852.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $90.93 97 $8,819.73 $8,889.85 $-32.49
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $91.26 97 $8,852.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $90.45 97 $8,773.93 $8,811.56 $-78.29
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $104.50 84 $8,777.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $95.90 84 $8,055.60 $8,089.58 $-721.98
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $100.29 80 $8,022.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $105.57 80 $8,446.00 $8,512.78 +$423.20
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $106.64 79 $8,424.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $116.57 79 $9,209.03 $9,296.86 +$784.08
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $121.12 76 $9,205.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.29 76 $9,674.42 $9,766.16 +$469.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,766.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-233.84
Total Return: -2.34%
Back to Reversion