Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$419.18
Current Value
$9,959.60
Period P&L
$-548.74
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+3.33%
Worst Trade
-2.59%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
13.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,979.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-548.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-548.74
Gross Return
-130.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-130.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $419.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $292.63 34 $9,949.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $296.98 34 $10,097.32 $10,376.76 +$147.90
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $292.63 34 $9,949.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.93 34 $10,129.62 $10,556.96 +$180.20
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $298.58 35 $10,450.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $293.67 35 $10,278.28 $10,384.94 $-172.02
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $298.58 35 $10,450.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $290.86 35 $10,180.10 $10,114.74 $-270.20
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $290.95 34 $9,892.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $300.65 34 $10,222.10 $10,444.54 +$329.80
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $303.02 34 $10,302.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.04 34 $10,167.36 $10,309.37 $-135.17
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $298.59 34 $10,151.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $295.53 34 $10,048.02 $10,205.42 $-103.95
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $293.48 34 $9,978.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $286.25 34 $9,732.50 $9,959.60 $-245.82
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,959.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-40.40
Total Return: -0.40%
Back to Reversion