Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:51:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.8/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 31.3/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 24.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,065.16
Current Value
$11,253.37
Period P&L
$1,188.21
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+9.02%
Worst Trade
-7.12%
Avg Trade Return
+1.43%
Avg Hold Time
10.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,104.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,188.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,188.21
Gross Return
+11.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,065.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $239.51 42 $10,059.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $251.92 42 $10,580.64 $10,586.38 +$521.22
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $239.51 42 $10,059.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $261.11 42 $10,966.41 $11,493.37 +$906.99
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $265.12 43 $11,400.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $246.24 43 $10,588.32 $10,681.53 $-811.84
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $249.38 42 $10,473.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $262.12 42 $11,009.04 $11,216.61 +$535.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $265.12 43 $11,400.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $259.59 43 $11,162.37 $10,978.82 $-237.79
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $253.64 43 $10,906.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $259.94 43 $11,177.42 $11,249.72 +$270.90
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $256.27 43 $11,019.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $270.27 43 $11,621.82 $11,852.15 +$602.43
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.35 43 $11,754.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $265.84 43 $11,431.20 $11,529.30 $-322.85
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $277.69 41 $11,385.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $270.96 41 $11,109.36 $11,253.37 $-275.93
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,253.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,253.37
Total Return: +12.53%
Back to Reversion