Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:15:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.9/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

26
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.2 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,109.03
Current Value
$14,354.32
Period P&L
$3,245.29
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
15 / 7
Best Trade
+7.88%
Worst Trade
-8.84%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$527,314.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,245.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,245.29
Gross Return
+29.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,109.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $8.56 1,271 $10,879.51
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET $9.01 1,271 $11,451.71 $11,453.98 +$572.20
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $8.76 1,308 $11,451.54
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $8.14 1,308 $10,640.58 $10,643.02 $-810.96
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $8.75 1,216 $10,640.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,216 $9,728.00 $9,731.02 $-912.00
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $7.74 1,256 $9,727.72
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $8.15 1,256 $10,230.12 $10,233.42 +$502.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 1,313 $10,228.27
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 1,313 $10,838.82 $10,843.97 +$610.55
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $8.90 1,217 $10,837.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $8.24 1,217 $10,027.96 $10,034.54 $-809.43
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,064 $10,033.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 1,064 $10,552.75 $10,553.77 +$519.23
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 1,134 $10,551.87
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $9.87 1,134 $11,192.58 $11,194.48 +$640.71
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 990 $11,190.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 990 $11,800.80 $11,804.62 +$610.14
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.81 999 $11,803.18
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 999 $10,759.23 $10,760.67 $-1,043.95
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,003 $10,757.18
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $11.47 1,003 $11,504.41 $11,507.90 +$747.23
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $11.99 959 $11,503.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $12.94 959 $12,409.75 $12,414.44 +$906.54
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $12.65 981 $12,404.84
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $13.31 981 $13,057.11 $13,066.71 +$652.27
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $13.50 967 $13,054.50
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:20am ET $12.52 967 $12,102.01 $12,114.22 $-952.49
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $12.61 960 $12,110.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:55am ET $13.26 960 $12,729.60 $12,733.42 +$619.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $12.41 1,025 $12,725.37
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $13.07 1,025 $13,396.75 $13,404.79 +$671.37
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $13.78 972 $13,392.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 972 $14,108.58 $14,120.57 +$715.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 1,005 $14,120.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:00am ET $14.77 1,005 $14,845.86 $14,846.18 +$725.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $14.53 1,021 $14,840.23
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 1,021 $13,660.98 $13,666.93 $-1,179.25
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $12.89 1,060 $13,658.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $11.96 1,060 $12,677.71 $12,686.54 $-980.39
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 973 $12,678.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $13.70 973 $13,330.10 $13,338.45 +$651.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $14.83 899 $13,332.17
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $15.96 899 $14,348.04 $14,354.32 +$1,015.87
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,354.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,354.32
Total Return: +43.54%
Back to Reversion