Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:57:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 42.1/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 39.2

30-Day Momentum

65
+35.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-2.72
Current Value
$12,540.18
Period P&L
$3,281.39
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-12.73%
Avg Trade Return
+2.39%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$248,111.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,281.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,281.39
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $-2.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $561.79 17 $9,550.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $601.16 17 $10,219.64 $10,505.91 +$669.12
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $561.79 17 $9,550.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $592.72 17 $10,076.24 $11,031.63 +$525.72
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $604.68 18 $10,884.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $661.98 18 $11,915.64 $12,063.03 +$1,031.40
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $662.18 18 $11,919.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $607.39 18 $10,933.02 $11,076.81 $-986.22
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $603.07 18 $10,855.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $526.29 18 $9,473.31 $9,694.86 $-1,381.95
(-12.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $582.48 16 $9,319.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $596.91 16 $9,550.51 $9,925.69 +$230.83
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $589.17 16 $9,426.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $547.73 16 $8,763.76 $9,262.65 $-663.04
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $550.03 16 $8,800.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $589.35 16 $9,429.68 $9,891.93 +$629.28
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $574.78 17 $9,771.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $616.27 17 $10,476.51 $10,597.17 +$705.24
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $607.66 17 $10,330.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $650.75 17 $11,062.75 $11,329.78 +$732.61
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $648.99 17 $11,032.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $682.84 17 $11,608.28 $11,905.23 +$575.45
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $662.53 17 $11,263.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $699.89 17 $11,898.05 $12,540.18 +$634.95
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,540.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,540.18
Total Return: +25.40%
Back to Reversion