Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:22:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,825.27
Current Value
$9,534.04
Period P&L
$-291.23
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+9.98%
Worst Trade
-8.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,720.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-291.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-291.23
Gross Return
-2.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,825.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.26 191 $9,790.66
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.97 191 $10,308.75 $10,343.36 +$518.09
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $52.80 195 $10,296.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $49.00 195 $9,555.00 $9,602.36 $-741.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.65 189 $9,572.85
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 189 $9,637.11 $9,666.62 +$64.26
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $52.49 184 $9,658.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 184 $10,212.00 $10,220.46 +$553.84
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $54.17 188 $10,183.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $50.37 188 $9,469.56 $9,506.06 $-714.40
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $48.28 196 $9,461.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $44.81 196 $8,782.76 $8,826.92 $-679.14
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET $47.01 187 $8,789.94
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $51.69 187 $9,666.96 $9,703.95 +$877.03
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $53.60 181 $9,700.70
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $58.45 181 $10,579.45 $10,582.70 +$878.75
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.87 200 $10,574.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $48.31 200 $9,663.00 $9,671.50 $-911.20
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $47.98 201 $9,643.98
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $46.88 201 $9,422.88 $9,450.40 $-221.10
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $47.98 196 $9,404.08
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $44.47 196 $8,716.12 $8,762.44 $-687.96
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $44.56 196 $8,733.76
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $46.85 196 $9,182.60 $9,211.28 +$448.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $50.67 181 $9,171.27
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.06 181 $8,518.76 $8,558.78 $-652.50
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $47.03 181 $8,512.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.55 181 $8,968.10 $9,014.57 +$455.79
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $49.79 181 $9,011.99
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $52.66 181 $9,531.46 $9,534.04 +$519.47
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,534.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-465.96
Total Return: -4.66%
Back to Reversion