Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 49.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

43
+14.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$202.40
Current Value
$20,494.64
Period P&L
$8,726.92
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
13 / 3
Best Trade
+11.55%
Worst Trade
-7.09%
Avg Trade Return
+3.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$524,674.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,726.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,726.92
Gross Return
+4311.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+4311.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $202.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $221.68 52 $11,527.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $233.36 52 $12,134.72 $12,299.42 +$607.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $221.68 52 $11,527.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $247.29 52 $12,859.34 $13,631.14 +$1,331.72
(+11.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $265.30 51 $13,530.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $279.92 51 $14,276.17 $14,377.02 +$745.88
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $266.75 53 $14,137.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $280.17 53 $14,849.01 $15,088.15 +$711.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET $274.91 54 $14,845.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $266.51 54 $14,391.54 $14,634.55 $-453.60
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $255.61 57 $14,569.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $273.05 57 $15,563.85 $15,628.63 +$994.08
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $283.36 55 $15,584.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $297.53 55 $16,364.29 $16,408.39 +$779.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $293.71 55 $16,154.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $312.94 55 $17,211.70 $17,465.77 +$1,057.38
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $293.15 59 $17,295.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $308.67 59 $18,211.53 $18,381.45 +$915.68
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $311.88 58 $18,089.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $327.61 58 $19,001.20 $19,293.61 +$912.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $318.35 60 $19,101.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $295.86 60 $17,751.60 $17,944.21 $-1,349.40
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $285.51 62 $17,701.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $301.26 62 $18,677.81 $18,920.40 +$976.19
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:00am ET $299.75 63 $18,884.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $278.50 63 $17,545.34 $17,581.49 $-1,338.91
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $283.76 61 $17,309.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $298.96 61 $18,236.86 $18,508.99 +$927.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $310.24 59 $18,304.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $326.36 59 $19,254.95 $19,459.78 +$950.79
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $328.37 59 $19,373.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:35am ET $345.91 59 $20,408.69 $20,494.64 +$1,034.86
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,494.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,494.64
Total Return: +104.95%
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