Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:10:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

24
+4.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.8 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,958
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,468.97
Current Value
$11,692.32
Period P&L
$2,223.35
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
11 / 5
Best Trade
+7.93%
Worst Trade
-7.83%
Avg Trade Return
+1.53%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$340,694.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,223.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,223.35
Gross Return
+23.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,468.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $217.04 43 $9,332.51
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $201.55 43 $8,666.65 $8,822.68 $-665.86
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $207.03 42 $8,695.26
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 42 $9,384.69 $9,512.11 +$689.43
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 46 $9,439.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $189.19 46 $8,702.74 $8,775.65 $-736.46
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 48 $8,620.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 48 $9,057.12 $9,212.45 +$436.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $194.96 47 $9,163.35
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $205.33 47 $9,650.51 $9,699.61 +$487.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 48 $9,620.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 48 $10,121.28 $10,200.73 +$501.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $208.54 48 $10,010.16
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 48 $10,544.16 $10,734.73 +$534.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $239.37 44 $10,532.28
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $254.51 44 $11,198.66 $11,401.11 +$666.38
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $216.50 52 $11,258.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:15am ET $201.10 52 $10,457.11 $10,600.22 $-800.89
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $194.74 54 $10,515.69
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $205.10 54 $11,075.40 $11,159.93 +$559.71
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $206.82 53 $10,961.46
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:05am ET $217.33 53 $11,518.49 $11,716.96 +$557.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $209.60 55 $11,528.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $221.02 55 $12,156.37 $12,345.33 +$628.37
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $262.77 46 $12,087.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $276.28 46 $12,708.88 $12,966.60 +$621.27
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $253.62 51 $12,934.62
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $235.37 51 $12,003.62 $12,035.60 $-931.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $218.34 55 $12,008.43
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $229.95 55 $12,647.25 $12,674.42 +$638.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $236.57 53 $12,538.22
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $218.04 53 $11,556.12 $11,692.32 $-982.10
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,692.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,692.32
Total Return: +16.92%
Back to Reversion