Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:10:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-27.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,343.42
Current Value
$6,781.85
Period P&L
$-2,561.57
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+6.18%
Worst Trade
-15.76%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,180.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,561.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,561.57
Gross Return
-27.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,343.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.82 61 $9,322.06
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $140.98 61 $8,599.78 $8,621.14 $-722.28
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $138.64 62 $8,595.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $145.90 62 $9,045.80 $9,071.26 +$450.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.65 62 $9,030.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $135.20 62 $8,382.40 $8,423.36 $-647.90
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $161.60 52 $8,403.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $171.10 52 $8,897.20 $8,917.36 +$494.00
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $177.39 50 $8,869.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.07 50 $9,353.75 $9,401.61 +$484.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $175.93 53 $9,324.29
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 53 $8,608.79 $8,686.11 $-715.50
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 53 $8,668.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $171.91 53 $9,111.23 $9,128.66 +$442.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $180.69 50 $9,034.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:50am ET $190.02 50 $9,501.00 $9,595.16 +$466.50
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $194.81 49 $9,545.69
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $181.04 49 $8,871.20 $8,920.68 $-674.48
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.46 47 $8,857.62
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:10am ET $198.31 47 $9,320.66 $9,383.72 +$463.04
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:45am ET $192.18 48 $9,224.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $193.00 48 $9,264.00 $9,423.08 +$39.36
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 49 $9,359.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:00am ET $202.80 49 $9,937.20 $10,001.28 +$578.20
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $247.50 40 $9,900.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $229.46 40 $9,178.40 $9,279.68 $-721.60
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $232.75 39 $9,077.35
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $216.21 39 $8,432.19 $8,634.52 $-645.16
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $212.02 40 $8,481.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $178.60 40 $7,144.00 $7,297.52 $-1,337.00
(-15.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $188.88 38 $7,177.44
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $175.31 38 $6,661.77 $6,781.85 $-515.67
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,781.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,218.15
Total Return: -32.18%
Back to Reversion