Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 18:19:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 8.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,534.21
Current Value
$7,686.81
Period P&L
$-1,847.41
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-9.22%
Avg Trade Return
-2.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$170,253.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,847.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,847.41
Gross Return
-19.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,534.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $60.94 160 $9,751.20
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $64.20 160 $10,272.02 $10,289.61 +$520.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $66.37 155 $10,287.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $61.52 155 $9,535.60 $9,537.86 $-751.75
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $62.79 151 $9,481.29
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 151 $8,607.00 $8,663.57 $-874.29
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $59.79 144 $8,609.76
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 144 $8,004.24 $8,058.05 $-605.52
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $55.85 144 $8,041.68
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.51 144 $8,282.16 $8,298.53 +$240.48
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.53 141 $8,253.43
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $53.89 141 $7,598.49 $7,643.58 $-654.95
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $53.61 142 $7,612.62
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.32 142 $7,997.44 $8,028.40 +$384.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.72 136 $7,985.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.68 136 $7,844.48 $7,886.96 $-141.44
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $56.90 138 $7,852.20
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $59.84 138 $8,257.55 $8,292.31 +$405.35
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.23 140 $8,292.20
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 140 $7,686.70 $7,686.81 $-605.50
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,686.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,313.19
Total Return: -23.13%
Back to Reversion