Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,361.04
Current Value
$8,464.26
Period P&L
$103.22
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+7.04%
Worst Trade
-6.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
12.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,404.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$103.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$103.22
Gross Return
+1.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,361.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $142.90 58 $8,288.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $141.85 58 $8,227.01 $8,336.68 $-61.19
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $141.09 59 $8,324.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $143.42 59 $8,461.78 $8,474.15 +$137.47
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.71 58 $8,335.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $136.83 58 $7,936.14 $8,074.82 $-399.33
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $134.35 60 $8,061.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $143.81 60 $8,628.60 $8,642.12 +$567.30
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.71 58 $8,335.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $141.12 58 $8,184.96 $8,491.61 $-150.51
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $138.42 61 $8,443.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $138.09 61 $8,423.19 $8,471.18 $-20.43
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $137.40 61 $8,381.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $145.08 61 $8,849.88 $8,939.66 +$468.48
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $137.40 61 $8,381.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $142.50 61 $8,692.50 $9,250.76 +$311.10
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $140.70 65 $9,145.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $137.19 65 $8,917.35 $9,022.61 $-228.15
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $138.04 65 $8,972.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $129.45 65 $8,414.25 $8,464.26 $-558.35
(-6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,464.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,535.74
Total Return: -15.36%
Back to Reversion