Compendium › Reversion › PFE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PFE
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 5 trades in period

-7.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,230.73
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$11,036.89
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 21.9/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,036.89
Current Value
$10,230.73
Period P&L
$-806.16
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.33%
Worst Trade
-3.89%
Avg Trade Return
-1.50%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,126.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-806.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-806.16
Gross Return
-7.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,036.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $26.45 417 $11,029.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $25.90 417 $10,800.26 $10,807.50 $-229.39
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $25.94 416 $10,790.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 11:30am ET $25.81 416 $10,735.84 $10,753.21 $-54.29
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.88 415 $10,740.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.97 415 $10,775.48 $10,788.49 +$35.28
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $25.55 422 $10,781.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.21 422 $10,636.55 $10,643.79 $-144.70
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $24.83 428 $10,625.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $23.86 428 $10,212.04 $10,230.73 $-413.06
(-3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,230.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$230.73
Total Return: +2.31%
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