Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,649.15
Current Value
$11,385.96
Period P&L
$1,736.81
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.09%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$380,736.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,736.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,736.81
Gross Return
+18.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,649.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $204.15 46 $9,391.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.60 46 $9,917.60 $10,048.89 +$526.47
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $214.20 46 $9,853.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $206.96 46 $9,520.16 $9,715.85 $-333.04
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $207.91 46 $9,563.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $198.10 46 $9,112.60 $9,264.71 $-451.14
(-4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.82 47 $9,250.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $210.91 47 $9,913.00 $9,926.94 +$662.23
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.03 47 $9,871.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $202.01 47 $9,494.47 $9,550.00 $-376.94
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $206.62 46 $9,504.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $218.78 46 $10,063.88 $10,109.59 +$559.59
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $213.87 47 $10,051.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.59 47 $10,555.73 $10,613.43 +$503.84
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET $224.68 47 $10,559.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $218.32 47 $10,261.04 $10,314.51 $-298.92
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $230.63 44 $10,147.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:45am ET $242.22 44 $10,657.68 $10,824.25 +$509.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $247.07 43 $10,624.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $259.61 43 $11,163.40 $11,363.64 +$539.39
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $255.05 44 $11,222.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $253.74 44 $11,164.56 $11,306.00 $-57.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $254.49 44 $11,197.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.92 44 $11,304.48 $11,412.92 +$106.92
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $255.05 44 $11,222.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $258.77 44 $11,385.88 $11,576.60 +$163.68
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $253.64 45 $11,413.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $246.24 45 $11,081.02 $11,243.82 $-332.78
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $249.48 45 $11,226.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $263.69 45 $11,866.05 $11,883.49 +$639.67
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $264.73 44 $11,648.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $252.50 44 $11,110.00 $11,345.37 $-538.12
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $264.73 44 $11,648.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $260.81 44 $11,475.64 $11,172.89 $-172.48
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $256.73 43 $11,039.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $261.69 43 $11,252.67 $11,385.96 +$213.07
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,385.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,385.96
Total Return: +13.86%
Back to Reversion