Compendium › Reversion › ACN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ACN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 25 trades in period

+31.91%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,349.33
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$8,603.71
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 24.2

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,603.71
Current Value
$11,349.33
Period P&L
$2,745.61
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
17 / 8
Best Trade
+6.71%
Worst Trade
-7.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$424,609.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,745.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,745.61
Gross Return
+31.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,603.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 44 $8,757.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $197.01 44 $8,668.66 $8,692.15 $-88.88
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 44 $8,588.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $180.88 44 $7,958.50 $8,062.29 $-629.86
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 42 $7,987.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $176.87 42 $7,428.33 $7,503.06 $-559.23
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 42 $7,398.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $180.60 42 $7,585.20 $7,689.96 +$186.90
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $174.65 44 $7,684.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:45am ET $161.90 44 $7,123.60 $7,128.74 $-561.22
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $164.30 43 $7,064.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $172.97 43 $7,437.71 $7,501.55 +$372.81
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $177.15 42 $7,440.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.55 42 $7,793.31 $7,854.35 +$352.80
(+4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $195.96 40 $7,838.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $181.71 40 $7,268.20 $7,284.15 $-570.20
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.39 40 $7,175.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $166.56 40 $6,662.40 $6,770.95 $-513.20
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $170.76 39 $6,659.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $158.71 39 $6,189.69 $6,301.00 $-469.95
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $125.81 50 $6,290.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $129.10 50 $6,455.00 $6,465.75 +$164.75
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $124.25 52 $6,461.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:20am ET $130.56 52 $6,789.12 $6,793.87 +$328.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.40 50 $6,719.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 50 $7,089.00 $7,163.12 +$369.25
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 51 $7,093.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $146.75 51 $7,484.25 $7,553.52 +$390.40
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $140.85 53 $7,464.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $150.29 53 $7,965.37 $8,054.11 +$500.58
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $164.59 48 $7,900.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:05am ET $173.13 48 $8,310.24 $8,464.14 +$410.03
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $160.87 52 $8,365.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $170.43 52 $8,862.62 $8,961.52 +$497.38
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 54 $8,832.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $172.01 54 $9,288.81 $9,418.09 +$456.57
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $168.18 56 $9,417.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $176.75 56 $9,898.00 $9,898.29 +$480.20
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $176.66 56 $9,892.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET $185.51 56 $10,388.28 $10,393.61 +$495.32
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $173.78 59 $10,253.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET $183.15 59 $10,805.56 $10,946.15 +$552.54
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $184.17 59 $10,866.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $189.15 59 $11,159.56 $11,239.68 +$293.53
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $184.17 59 $10,866.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $194.29 59 $11,463.40 $11,837.06 +$597.38
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $187.27 63 $11,798.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $193.37 63 $12,182.31 $12,221.36 +$384.30
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $196.84 62 $12,203.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $182.77 62 $11,331.74 $11,349.33 $-872.03
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,349.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,349.33
Total Return: +13.49%
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