Compendium › Reversion › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 17 trades in period

+11.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,002.65
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$9,857.78
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-9.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,857.78
Current Value
$11,002.65
Period P&L
$1,144.86
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+7.86%
Worst Trade
-7.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$349,024.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,144.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,144.86
Gross Return
+11.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,857.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $357.64 27 $9,656.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $350.45 27 $9,462.15 $9,766.26 $-193.99
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:25pm ET $350.73 27 $9,469.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $351.85 27 $9,499.95 $9,796.50 +$30.24
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $348.70 28 $9,763.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 28 $9,600.08 $9,632.98 $-163.52
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $341.35 28 $9,557.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $329.42 28 $9,223.62 $9,298.80 $-334.18
(-3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $332.33 27 $8,972.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $339.95 27 $9,178.78 $9,504.68 +$205.88
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $339.40 28 $9,503.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $350.44 28 $9,812.32 $9,813.80 +$309.12
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:55am ET $345.40 28 $9,671.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $342.23 28 $9,582.44 $9,725.04 $-88.76
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $347.06 28 $9,717.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.34 28 $10,229.52 $10,236.88 +$511.84
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $369.39 27 $9,973.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $363.70 27 $9,820.03 $10,083.25 $-153.63
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET $370.43 27 $10,001.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:45am ET $378.38 27 $10,216.26 $10,297.97 +$214.72
(+2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $369.39 27 $9,973.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $383.07 27 $10,342.89 $10,667.20 +$369.23
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
24d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $381.89 27 $10,310.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $411.89 27 $11,121.16 $11,477.47 +$810.27
(+7.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $413.14 27 $11,154.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $436.06 27 $11,773.62 $12,096.31 +$618.84
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $435.62 27 $11,761.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 27 $11,522.79 $11,857.36 $-238.95
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $435.62 27 $11,761.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $442.70 27 $11,953.03 $12,048.65 +$191.29
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $436.83 27 $11,794.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 27 $10,888.83 $11,143.07 $-905.58
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $390.93 28 $10,946.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $385.92 28 $10,805.76 $11,002.65 $-140.42
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,002.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,002.65
Total Return: +10.03%
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