Compendium › Reversion › CRM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRM
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 26 trades in period

+17.53%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,498.52
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$8,081.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

12
+2.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.7 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,081.96
Current Value
$9,498.52
Period P&L
$1,416.55
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
16 / 10
Best Trade
+12.06%
Worst Trade
-7.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,489.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,416.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,416.55
Gross Return
+17.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,081.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $195.73 43 $8,416.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 43 $7,781.93 $7,861.16 $-634.46
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $184.91 42 $7,766.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $187.54 42 $7,876.68 $7,971.62 +$110.46
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $184.76 43 $7,944.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $170.78 43 $7,343.54 $7,370.26 $-601.36
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $167.74 43 $7,212.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $176.63 43 $7,595.09 $7,752.53 +$382.27
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.88 41 $7,744.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 41 $7,150.81 $7,159.26 $-593.27
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $181.52 39 $7,079.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $186.46 39 $7,272.13 $7,352.12 +$192.86
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $179.39 40 $7,175.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $166.72 40 $6,668.80 $6,845.32 $-506.80
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $172.13 39 $6,713.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 39 $7,216.95 $7,349.20 +$503.88
(+7.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $176.04 41 $7,217.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $185.79 41 $7,617.59 $7,748.95 +$399.75
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.07 37 $7,735.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $193.85 37 $7,172.45 $7,185.81 $-563.14
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.09 38 $7,185.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $175.21 38 $6,657.79 $6,658.18 $-527.63
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $173.38 38 $6,588.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $161.11 38 $6,122.18 $6,191.79 $-466.39
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.10 39 $6,126.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $159.48 39 $6,219.72 $6,284.80 +$93.01
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 39 $6,134.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:10am ET $165.21 39 $6,443.00 $6,593.10 +$308.29
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.93 40 $6,557.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:40am ET $172.46 40 $6,898.20 $6,934.30 +$341.20
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $169.69 40 $6,787.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET $157.68 40 $6,307.20 $6,453.90 $-480.40
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $175.46 36 $6,316.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $184.29 36 $6,634.26 $6,771.78 +$317.88
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.93 40 $6,557.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 40 $7,207.00 $7,421.78 +$650.00
(+9.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $178.78 41 $7,329.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 41 $7,811.73 $7,903.53 +$481.75
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $183.26 43 $7,879.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $194.26 43 $8,353.18 $8,376.74 +$473.21
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $183.48 45 $8,256.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $192.96 45 $8,682.98 $8,803.23 +$426.49
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $196.36 44 $8,639.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $206.51 44 $9,086.44 $9,249.83 +$446.60
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $206.58 44 $9,089.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 44 $10,186.00 $10,346.31 +$1,096.48
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $259.78 39 $10,131.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $243.66 39 $9,502.74 $9,717.63 $-628.68
(-6.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.43 39 $9,649.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $260.14 39 $10,145.46 $10,213.32 +$495.69
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $250.18 40 $10,007.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $232.31 40 $9,292.40 $9,498.52 $-714.80
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,498.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-501.48
Total Return: -5.01%
Back to Reversion