Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:31:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 21.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,783.07
Current Value
$10,553.01
Period P&L
$769.94
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-3.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
11.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,248.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$769.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$769.94
Gross Return
+7.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,783.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $470.97 20 $9,419.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $452.53 20 $9,050.60 $9,507.07 $-368.80
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $451.95 21 $9,490.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $478.92 21 $10,057.32 $10,073.44 +$566.37
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $480.48 20 $9,609.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $493.81 20 $9,876.20 $10,340.04 +$266.60
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $492.82 20 $9,856.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $496.21 20 $9,924.20 $10,407.84 +$67.80
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:10am ET $496.12 20 $9,922.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:10am ET $495.08 20 $9,901.70 $10,387.14 $-20.70
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $494.26 21 $10,379.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $511.01 21 $10,731.21 $10,738.89 +$351.75
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.37 21 $10,696.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $513.22 21 $10,777.52 $10,819.64 +$80.75
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $519.78 20 $10,395.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $520.09 20 $10,401.90 $10,825.94 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $519.78 20 $10,395.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $528.81 20 $10,576.20 $11,006.54 +$180.60
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $527.76 20 $10,555.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $520.74 20 $10,414.80 $10,866.14 $-140.40
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $527.76 20 $10,555.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $517.70 20 $10,353.90 $10,664.84 $-201.30
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $529.19 20 $10,583.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $536.67 20 $10,733.37 $10,814.41 +$149.57
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $536.26 20 $10,725.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $533.37 20 $10,667.40 $10,756.61 $-57.80
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET $534.31 20 $10,686.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $530.27 20 $10,605.40 $10,675.81 $-80.80
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $525.70 20 $10,514.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $519.56 20 $10,391.20 $10,553.01 $-122.80
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,553.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$553.01
Total Return: +5.53%
Back to Reversion